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Tommy Novak vs Zack Ostapchuk

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Tommy Novak is ahead on 8 of 9 measures. The widest gap is creates per 60: Tommy Novak sits in the 97th percentile, Zack Ostapchuk the 29th.

MeasureNovakOstapchuk
Scoring · NHL
Points40
Goals20
Assists20
Ice time per game15:2310:52
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.2476 pct0.0633 pct
Shot attempts per game2.046 pct2.046 pct
Goals above expected+1.597 pct−0.143 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share56.0%62 pct—
Chances for per 602.0339 pct—
Chances against per 601.6081 pct—
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.7797 pct+0.2566 pct
Creates per 60+0.6797 pct−0.0529 pct
Prevents per 60+0.1069 pct+0.3093 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →