Tommy Novak vs Morgan Rielly
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Penguins · CTommy NovakChange first player
Penguins skaters
- Sidney Crosby
- Evgeni Malkin
- Filip Hallander
- Egor Chinakhov
- Rickard Rakell
- Samuel Girard
- Ben Kindel
- Tommy Novak
- Connor Dewar
- Nick Robertson
- Blake Lizotte
- Declan Carlile
- Kris Letang
- Ville Koivunen
- Erik Karlsson
- Hendrix Lapierre
- Kaedan Korczak
- Andrei Kuzmenko
- Elmer Soderblom
- Trevor van Riemsdyk
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- Tomas Hertl
- William Nylander
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Kirill Marchenko
- John Tavares
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Clayton Keller
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
- Jack Hughes
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
Another club (its chance leader)
Maple Leafs · DMorgan RiellyChange second player
Maple Leafs skaters
- William Nylander
- Kirill Marchenko
- John Tavares
- Auston Matthews
- Jack Roslovic
- Colton Sissons
- Easton Cowan
- Nick Paul
- Gavin McKenna
- Darren Raddysh
- Morgan Rielly
- Oliver Ekman-Larsson
- Brandon Duhaime
- Teddy Blueger
- Jake McCabe
- Troy Stecher
- Bo Groulx
- Chris Tanev
- Zack MacEwen
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- Tomas Hertl
- William Nylander
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Kirill Marchenko
- John Tavares
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Clayton Keller
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
- Jack Hughes
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Tommy Novak is ahead on 9 of 13 measures. The widest gap is net impact per 60: Tommy Novak sits in the 94th percentile, Morgan Rielly the 15th.
| Measure | Novak | Rielly |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 4 | 3 |
| Goals | 2 | 0 |
| Assists | 2 | 3 |
| Ice time per game | 15:19 | 20:05 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.1968 pct | 0.0942 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 2.047 pct | 1.531 pct |
| Goals above expected | +1.497 pct | −0.422 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 45.9%37 pct | 46.4%39 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 2.0239 pct | 2.7765 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 2.3847 pct | 3.2018 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.7094 pct | −0.2315 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.6597 pct | +0.0949 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.0555 pct | −0.324 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 555 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →