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Sebastian Aho vs Colton Dach

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Sebastian Aho is ahead on 10 of 13 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Sebastian Aho sits in the 99th percentile, Colton Dach the 25th.

MeasureAhoDach
Scoring · NHL
Points40
Goals30
Assists10
Ice time per game20:0213:23
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.4294 pct0.0944 pct
Shot attempts per game5.394 pct3.072 pct
Goals above expected+1.799 pct−0.325 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share56.0%62 pct60.2%73 pct
Chances for per 602.4456 pct1.4114 pct
Chances against per 601.9265 pct0.9397 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.6095 pct+0.2164 pct
Creates per 60+0.3891 pct−0.0627 pct
Prevents per 60+0.2287 pct+0.2694 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →