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Sebastian Aho vs Brett Pesce

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Sebastian Aho is ahead on 11 of 13 measures. The widest gap is expected goals per game: Sebastian Aho sits in the 92nd percentile, Brett Pesce the 12th.

MeasureAhoPesce
Scoring · NHL
Points70
Goals40
Assists30
Ice time per game20:0019:47
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.3992 pct0.0212 pct
Shot attempts per game5.395 pct2.047 pct
Goals above expected+2.499 pct−0.154 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share62.8%82 pct60.1%74 pct
Chances for per 602.6662 pct3.0479 pct
Chances against per 601.5884 pct2.0262 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.7095 pct+0.0745 pct
Creates per 60+0.5695 pct−0.1220 pct
Prevents per 60+0.1474 pct+0.1983 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →