Sebastian Aho vs Matt Grzelcyk
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Hurricanes · CSebastian AhoChange first player
Hurricanes skaters
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Sebastian Aho
- Jackson Blake
- Logan Stankoven
- Nikolaj Ehlers
- William Carrier
- Jordan Staal
- Shayne Gostisbehere
- Taylor Hall
- Jordan Martinook
- Jaccob Slavin
- Sean Walker
- Eric Robinson
- Mark Jankowski
- K'Andre Miller
- Jalen Chatfield
- Charles Alexis Legault
- Mike Reilly
- Jesperi Kotkaniemi
- Nicolas Deslauriers
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Kyle Connor
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Nick Schmaltz
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
- Will Smith
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Tyson Foerster
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Gabriel Vilardi
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- David Pastrnak
Another club (its chance leader)
Sabres · DMatt GrzelcykChange second player
Sabres skaters
- Tage Thompson
- Jack Quinn
- Noah Ostlund
- Konsta Helenius
- Rasmus Dahlin
- Zach Benson
- Jiri Kulich
- Ryan McLeod
- Josh Norris
- Josh Doan
- Peyton Krebs
- Mattias Samuelsson
- Olen Zellweger
- Sam Carrick
- Louis Crevier
- Owen Power
- Beck Malenstyn
- Matt Grzelcyk
- Zach Metsa
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Kyle Connor
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Nick Schmaltz
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
- Will Smith
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Tyson Foerster
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Gabriel Vilardi
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- David Pastrnak
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Sebastian Aho is ahead on 10 of 10 measures. The widest gap is shot attempts per game: Sebastian Aho sits in the 95th percentile, Matt Grzelcyk the 1st.
| Measure | Aho | Grzelcyk |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 4 | 0 |
| Goals | 3 | 0 |
| Assists | 1 | 0 |
| Ice time per game | 20:02 | 14:27 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.4294 pct | 0.001 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 5.395 pct | 0.01 pct |
| Goals above expected | +1.799 pct | 0.067 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 56.0%61 pct | — |
| Chances for per 60 | 2.4453 pct | — |
| Chances against per 60 | 1.9265 pct | — |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.6693 pct | −0.339 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.5595 pct | −0.324 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.1168 pct | −0.0140 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →