Sebastian Aho vs John Carlson
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Hurricanes · CSebastian AhoChange first player
Hurricanes skaters
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Sebastian Aho
- Logan Stankoven
- Jackson Blake
- Taylor Hall
- William Carrier
- Nikolaj Ehlers
- Shayne Gostisbehere
- Jordan Staal
- Jordan Martinook
- Jalen Chatfield
- Jaccob Slavin
- K'Andre Miller
- Eric Robinson
- Mark Jankowski
- Sean Walker
- Charles Alexis Legault
- Mike Reilly
- Jesperi Kotkaniemi
- Nicolas Deslauriers
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Clayton Keller
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
Another club (its chance leader)
Lightning · DJohn CarlsonChange second player
Lightning skaters
- Brandon Hagel
- Brayden Point
- Jake Guentzel
- Nikita Kucherov
- Pontus Holmberg
- Gage Goncalves
- Ilya Mikheyev
- Conor Geekie
- J.J. Moser
- Anthony Cirelli
- Jeffrey Viel
- John Carlson
- Erik Cernak
- Victor Hedman
- Jansen Harkins
- Zemgus Girgensons
- Charle-Edouard D'Astous
- Max Crozier
- Emil Lilleberg
- Ryan McDonagh
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Clayton Keller
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Sebastian Aho is ahead on 11 of 13 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Sebastian Aho sits in the 99th percentile, John Carlson the 29th.
| Measure | Aho | Carlson |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 7 | 2 |
| Goals | 4 | 0 |
| Assists | 3 | 2 |
| Ice time per game | 20:00 | 20:42 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.3992 pct | 0.0942 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 5.395 pct | 3.073 pct |
| Goals above expected | +2.499 pct | −0.329 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 62.8%82 pct | 59.1%71 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 2.6662 pct | 2.3852 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 1.5884 pct | 1.6580 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.7095 pct | +0.3273 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.5695 pct | +0.1662 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.1474 pct | +0.1680 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →