Erik Cernak vs Cole Smith
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Lightning · DErik CernakChange first player
Lightning skaters
- Brandon Hagel
- Brayden Point
- Jake Guentzel
- Nikita Kucherov
- Pontus Holmberg
- Gage Goncalves
- Ilya Mikheyev
- Conor Geekie
- J.J. Moser
- Anthony Cirelli
- Jeffrey Viel
- John Carlson
- Erik Cernak
- Victor Hedman
- Jansen Harkins
- Zemgus Girgensons
- Charle-Edouard D'Astous
- Max Crozier
- Emil Lilleberg
- Ryan McDonagh
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- Kyle Connor
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Alex Tuch
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Cole Perfetti
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Beckett Sennecke
- Clayton Keller
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Cutter Gauthier
Another club (its chance leader)
Blackhawks · RCole SmithChange second player
Blackhawks skaters
- Patrick Kane
- Frank Nazar
- Jordan Greenway
- Anton Frondell
- Ryan Donato
- Sam Rinzel
- Artyom Levshunov
- Ryan Greene
- Oliver Moore
- Tyler Bertuzzi
- Roman Kantserov
- Teuvo Teravainen
- Nick Lardis
- Bowen Byram
- Cole Smith
- Wyatt Kaiser
- Alex Vlasic
- Andrew Mangiapane
- Kevin Korchinski
- Ethan Del Mastro
- Ian Cole
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- Kyle Connor
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Alex Tuch
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Cole Perfetti
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Beckett Sennecke
- Clayton Keller
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Cutter Gauthier
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Erik Cernak and Cole Smith split the measures 6 each. The widest gap is chance share: Erik Cernak sits in the 87th percentile, Cole Smith the 21st.
| Measure | Cernak | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 0 | 1 |
| Goals | 0 | 1 |
| Assists | 0 | 0 |
| Ice time per game | 19:36 | 14:49 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.0736 pct | 0.0318 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 2.358 pct | 0.55 pct |
| Goals above expected | −0.233 pct | −0.144 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 65.4%87 pct | 38.8%21 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 3.0378 pct | 1.8933 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 1.6082 pct | 2.9721 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | −0.339 pct | +0.1960 pct |
| Creates per 60 | −0.452 pct | +0.0241 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.1269 pct | +0.1881 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 555 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →