Erik Cernak vs Connor McMichael
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Lightning · DErik CernakChange first player
Lightning skaters
- Brandon Hagel
- Brayden Point
- Jake Guentzel
- Nikita Kucherov
- Pontus Holmberg
- Gage Goncalves
- Ilya Mikheyev
- Conor Geekie
- J.J. Moser
- Anthony Cirelli
- Jeffrey Viel
- John Carlson
- Erik Cernak
- Victor Hedman
- Jansen Harkins
- Zemgus Girgensons
- Charle-Edouard D'Astous
- Max Crozier
- Emil Lilleberg
- Ryan McDonagh
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- Kyle Connor
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Alex Tuch
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Cole Perfetti
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Beckett Sennecke
- Clayton Keller
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Cutter Gauthier
Another club (its chance leader)
Blues · LConnor McMichaelChange second player
Blues skaters
- Mason McTavish
- Connor McMichael
- Dalibor Dvorsky
- Dylan Holloway
- Pavel Buchnevich
- Adam Jiricek
- Jimmy Snuggerud
- Robert Thomas
- Jonatan Berggren
- Philip Broberg
- Colton Parayko
- Jake Neighbours
- Pius Suter
- Ross Johnston
- Cam Fowler
- Brandon Carlo
- Theo Lindstein
- Dillon Dube
- Alexey Toropchenko
- Zach Dean
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- Kyle Connor
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Alex Tuch
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Cole Perfetti
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Beckett Sennecke
- Clayton Keller
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Cutter Gauthier
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Connor McMichael is ahead on 8 of 13 measures. The widest gap is creates per 60: Connor McMichael sits in the 72nd percentile, Erik Cernak the 2nd.
| Measure | Cernak | McMichael |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 0 | 3 |
| Goals | 0 | 1 |
| Assists | 0 | 2 |
| Ice time per game | 19:36 | 15:25 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.0736 pct | 0.3187 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 2.358 pct | 4.089 pct |
| Goals above expected | −0.233 pct | +0.166 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 65.4%87 pct | 61.0%76 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 3.0378 pct | 2.8469 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 1.6082 pct | 1.8273 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | −0.339 pct | +0.0644 pct |
| Creates per 60 | −0.452 pct | +0.2472 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.1269 pct | −0.1714 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 555 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →