Erik Cernak vs Alex Iafallo
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Lightning · DErik CernakChange first player
Lightning skaters
- Brandon Hagel
- Brayden Point
- Jake Guentzel
- Nikita Kucherov
- Pontus Holmberg
- Gage Goncalves
- Ilya Mikheyev
- Conor Geekie
- J.J. Moser
- Anthony Cirelli
- Jeffrey Viel
- John Carlson
- Erik Cernak
- Victor Hedman
- Jansen Harkins
- Zemgus Girgensons
- Charle-Edouard D'Astous
- Max Crozier
- Emil Lilleberg
- Ryan McDonagh
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- Tomas Hertl
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Clayton Keller
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
- Jack Hughes
Another club (its chance leader)
Jets · LAlex IafalloChange second player
Jets skaters
- Kyle Connor
- Cole Perfetti
- Gabriel Vilardi
- Mark Scheifele
- Josh Morrissey
- Vladislav Namestnikov
- Viggo Björck
- Alex Iafallo
- Morgan Barron
- Brad Lambert
- Neal Pionk
- Adam Lowry
- Cole Koepke
- Mario Ferraro
- Isak Rosen
- Dylan Samberg
- Dylan DeMelo
- Tyrel Bauer
- Nino Niederreiter
- Jack St. Ivany
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- Tomas Hertl
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Clayton Keller
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
- Jack Hughes
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Alex Iafallo is ahead on 8 of 13 measures. The widest gap is chance share: Erik Cernak sits in the 86th percentile, Alex Iafallo the 8th.
| Measure | Cernak | Iafallo |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 0 | 2 |
| Goals | 0 | 1 |
| Assists | 0 | 1 |
| Ice time per game | 19:36 | 11:27 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.0735 pct | 0.1045 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 2.357 pct | 1.736 pct |
| Goals above expected | −0.234 pct | +0.783 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 65.4%86 pct | 29.3%8 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 3.0376 pct | 1.4614 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 1.6083 pct | 3.5210 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | −0.349 pct | +0.0645 pct |
| Creates per 60 | −0.452 pct | −0.1717 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.1270 pct | +0.2389 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 537 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →