Erik Cernak vs Bo Horvat
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Lightning · DErik CernakChange first player
Lightning skaters
- Brandon Hagel
- Brayden Point
- Jake Guentzel
- Nikita Kucherov
- Pontus Holmberg
- Gage Goncalves
- Ilya Mikheyev
- Conor Geekie
- J.J. Moser
- Anthony Cirelli
- Jeffrey Viel
- John Carlson
- Erik Cernak
- Victor Hedman
- Jansen Harkins
- Zemgus Girgensons
- Charle-Edouard D'Astous
- Max Crozier
- Emil Lilleberg
- Ryan McDonagh
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Kyle Connor
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Jordan Eberle
- William Eklund
- Nick Schmaltz
- Brandon Hagel
- Cole Perfetti
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Tyson Foerster
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Will Smith
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Sebastian Aho
- Marco Rossi
- Kirill Kaprizov
- JJ Peterka
Another club (its chance leader)
Islanders · CBo HorvatChange second player
Islanders skaters
- Brayden Schenn
- Casey Cizikas
- Emil Heineman
- Victor Eklund
- Bo Horvat
- Kyle Palmieri
- Ondrej Palat
- Anthony Duclair
- Calum Ritchie
- Simon Holmstrom
- Matthew Schaefer
- Matias Maccelli
- Tony DeAngelo
- Jean-Gabriel Pageau
- Ryan Pulock
- Alexander Romanov
- Adam Pelech
- Logan Stanley
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Kyle Connor
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Jordan Eberle
- William Eklund
- Nick Schmaltz
- Brandon Hagel
- Cole Perfetti
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Tyson Foerster
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Will Smith
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Sebastian Aho
- Marco Rossi
- Kirill Kaprizov
- JJ Peterka
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Bo Horvat is ahead on 9 of 13 measures. The widest gap is creates per 60: Bo Horvat sits in the 96th percentile, Erik Cernak the 2nd.
| Measure | Cernak | Horvat |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 0 | 2 |
| Goals | 0 | 1 |
| Assists | 0 | 1 |
| Ice time per game | 19:36 | 20:31 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.0737 pct | 0.2882 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 2.354 pct | 5.093 pct |
| Goals above expected | −0.232 pct | +0.477 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 65.4%85 pct | 36.5%17 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 3.0377 pct | 2.6162 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 1.6081 pct | 4.543 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | −0.339 pct | +0.5389 pct |
| Creates per 60 | −0.452 pct | +0.6096 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.1271 pct | −0.0630 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 518 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →