Erik Cernak vs Tom Wilson
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Lightning · DErik CernakChange first player
Lightning skaters
- Brandon Hagel
- Brayden Point
- Jake Guentzel
- Nikita Kucherov
- Pontus Holmberg
- Gage Goncalves
- Ilya Mikheyev
- Conor Geekie
- J.J. Moser
- Anthony Cirelli
- Jeffrey Viel
- John Carlson
- Erik Cernak
- Victor Hedman
- Jansen Harkins
- Zemgus Girgensons
- Charle-Edouard D'Astous
- Max Crozier
- Emil Lilleberg
- Ryan McDonagh
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- Kyle Connor
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Alex Tuch
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Cole Perfetti
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Clayton Keller
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Tommy Novak
- Wyatt Johnston
Another club (its chance leader)
Capitals · RTom WilsonChange second player
Capitals skaters
- Alex Tuch
- Ryan Leonard
- Dylan Strome
- Pierre-Luc Dubois
- Alex Ovechkin
- Cole Hutson
- Tom Wilson
- Jakob Chychrun
- Anthony Beauvillier
- Boone Jenner
- Aliaksei Protas
- Justin Sourdif
- Martin Fehérváry
- Jordan Kyrou
- Matt Roy
- Ilya Protas
- Timothy Liljegren
- Vincent Desharnais
- Dylan McIlrath
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- Kyle Connor
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Alex Tuch
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Cole Perfetti
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Clayton Keller
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Tommy Novak
- Wyatt Johnston
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Tom Wilson is ahead on 9 of 13 measures. The widest gap is net impact per 60: Tom Wilson sits in the 93rd percentile, Erik Cernak the 9th.
| Measure | Cernak | Wilson |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 0 | 4 |
| Goals | 0 | 1 |
| Assists | 0 | 3 |
| Ice time per game | 19:36 | 18:05 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.0735 pct | 0.1661 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 2.357 pct | 1.736 pct |
| Goals above expected | −0.234 pct | +0.578 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 65.4%87 pct | 58.6%71 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 3.0378 pct | 3.4290 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 1.6083 pct | 2.4245 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | −0.339 pct | +0.6693 pct |
| Creates per 60 | −0.452 pct | +0.3685 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.1270 pct | +0.3093 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 550 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →