Erik Cernak vs Brad Marchand
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Lightning · DErik CernakChange first player
Lightning skaters
- Brandon Hagel
- Brayden Point
- Jake Guentzel
- Nikita Kucherov
- Pontus Holmberg
- Gage Goncalves
- Ilya Mikheyev
- Conor Geekie
- J.J. Moser
- Anthony Cirelli
- Jeffrey Viel
- John Carlson
- Erik Cernak
- Victor Hedman
- Jansen Harkins
- Zemgus Girgensons
- Charle-Edouard D'Astous
- Max Crozier
- Emil Lilleberg
- Ryan McDonagh
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Clayton Keller
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
Another club (its chance leader)
Panthers · LBrad MarchandChange second player
Panthers skaters
- Sam Reinhart
- Carter Verhaeghe
- Brady Tkachuk
- Sandis Vilmanis
- Eetu Luostarinen
- Matthew Tkachuk
- Sam Bennett
- Seth Jones
- Anton Lundell
- Brad Marchand
- Lars Eller
- Niko Mikkola
- Aaron Ekblad
- Garnet Hathaway
- Aleksander Barkov
- Gustav Forsling
- Radko Gudas
- Uvis Balinskis
- Dmitry Kulikov
- Bokondji Imama
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Clayton Keller
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Brad Marchand is ahead on 7 of 9 measures. The widest gap is creates per 60: Brad Marchand sits in the 97th percentile, Erik Cernak the 2nd.
| Measure | Cernak | Marchand |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 0 | 1 |
| Goals | 0 | 1 |
| Assists | 0 | 0 |
| Ice time per game | 19:36 | 11:23 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.0736 pct | 0.3388 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 2.357 pct | 3.582 pct |
| Goals above expected | −0.233 pct | +0.372 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 65.4%87 pct | — |
| Chances for per 60 | 3.0378 pct | — |
| Chances against per 60 | 1.6083 pct | — |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | −0.339 pct | +0.4585 pct |
| Creates per 60 | −0.452 pct | +0.6597 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.1269 pct | −0.2012 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →