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Connor McDavid vs Connor Dewar

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Connor McDavid is ahead on 12 of 13 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Connor McDavid sits in the 95th percentile, Connor Dewar the 15th.

MeasureMcDavidDewar
Scoring · NHL
Points120
Goals30
Assists90
Ice time per game23:5613:41
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.2273 pct0.1353 pct
Shot attempts per game3.073 pct1.841 pct
Goals above expected+1.195 pct−0.515 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share73.0%97 pct55.7%63 pct
Chances for per 603.6394 pct1.9335 pct
Chances against per 601.3491 pct1.5385 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.7497 pct+0.2061 pct
Creates per 60+0.6698 pct+0.0848 pct
Prevents per 60+0.0862 pct+0.1371 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 555 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →