Connor McDavid vs Morgan Rielly
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Oilers · CConnor McDavidChange first player
Oilers skaters
- Leon Draisaitl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Kasperi Kapanen
- Connor McDavid
- Evan Bouchard
- Max Jones
- Alex Formenton
- Trent Frederic
- Ryan Shea
- Isaac Howard
- Owen Michaels
- Colton Dach
- Mathieu Joseph
- Zach Hyman
- Mattias Ekholm
- Jake Walman
- Ty Emberson
- Josh Samanski
- Connor Murphy
- Shakir Mukhamadullin
- Jason Dickinson
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- Kyle Connor
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Alex Tuch
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Cole Perfetti
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Beckett Sennecke
- Clayton Keller
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Cutter Gauthier
Another club (its chance leader)
Maple Leafs · DMorgan RiellyChange second player
Maple Leafs skaters
- William Nylander
- Kirill Marchenko
- John Tavares
- Auston Matthews
- Jack Roslovic
- Colton Sissons
- Easton Cowan
- Nick Paul
- Gavin McKenna
- Darren Raddysh
- Morgan Rielly
- Oliver Ekman-Larsson
- Brandon Duhaime
- Teddy Blueger
- Jake McCabe
- Troy Stecher
- Bo Groulx
- Chris Tanev
- Zack MacEwen
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- Kyle Connor
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Alex Tuch
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Cole Perfetti
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Beckett Sennecke
- Clayton Keller
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Cutter Gauthier
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Connor McDavid is ahead on 13 of 13 measures. The widest gap is net impact per 60: Connor McDavid sits in the 97th percentile, Morgan Rielly the 15th.
| Measure | McDavid | Rielly |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 12 | 3 |
| Goals | 3 | 0 |
| Assists | 9 | 3 |
| Ice time per game | 23:56 | 20:05 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.2273 pct | 0.0942 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 3.073 pct | 1.531 pct |
| Goals above expected | +1.195 pct | −0.423 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 73.0%97 pct | 46.4%37 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 3.6394 pct | 2.7766 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 1.3491 pct | 3.2015 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.7497 pct | −0.2215 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.6698 pct | +0.0950 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.0862 pct | −0.324 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 555 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →