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Connor McDavid vs Ryan McDonagh

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Connor McDavid is ahead on 11 of 13 measures. The widest gap is expected goals per game: Connor McDavid sits in the 74th percentile, Ryan McDonagh the 2nd.

MeasureMcDavidMcDonagh
Scoring · NHL
Points90
Goals20
Assists70
Ice time per game23:4415:40
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.2274 pct0.002 pct
Shot attempts per game2.766 pct0.33 pct
Goals above expected+0.371 pct0.063 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share70.6%95 pct65.6%88 pct
Chances for per 603.4890 pct2.5458 pct
Chances against per 601.4588 pct1.3391 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.7195 pct+0.2870 pct
Creates per 60+0.6598 pct−0.0137 pct
Prevents per 60+0.0554 pct+0.2993 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →