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Kyle Connor vs Mattias Samuelsson

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Kyle Connor is ahead on 10 of 13 measures. The widest gap is creates per 60: Kyle Connor sits in the 86th percentile, Mattias Samuelsson the 7th.

MeasureConnorSamuelsson
Scoring · NHL
Points52
Goals31
Assists21
Ice time per game21:0021:16
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.7299 pct0.0527 pct
Shot attempts per game8.799 pct1.532 pct
Goals above expected+0.890 pct+0.992 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share53.8%57 pct42.3%30 pct
Chances for per 603.3687 pct1.8630 pct
Chances against per 602.8924 pct2.5438 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.3374 pct−0.3010 pct
Creates per 60+0.3686 pct−0.267 pct
Prevents per 60−0.0335 pct−0.0434 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →