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Kyle Connor vs Erik Gustafsson

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Kyle Connor is ahead on 10 of 13 measures. The widest gap is expected goals per game: Kyle Connor sits in the 98th percentile, Erik Gustafsson the 6th.

MeasureConnorGustafsson
Scoring · NHL
Points71
Goals50
Assists21
Ice time per game20:4416:07
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.6598 pct0.016 pct
Shot attempts per game8.099 pct1.531 pct
Goals above expected+2.499 pct0.060 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share54.1%58 pct59.0%72 pct
Chances for per 603.4190 pct1.7224 pct
Chances against per 602.9023 pct1.1995 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.3676 pct+0.1758 pct
Creates per 60+0.3987 pct+0.0544 pct
Prevents per 60−0.0335 pct+0.1270 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 550 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →