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Kyle Connor vs John Tavares

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Kyle Connor is ahead on 10 of 12 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Kyle Connor sits in the 90th percentile, John Tavares the 3rd.

MeasureConnorTavares
Scoring · NHL
Points52
Goals30
Assists22
Ice time per game21:0017:12
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.7299 pct0.3790 pct
Shot attempts per game8.799 pct3.377 pct
Goals above expected+0.890 pct−1.13 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share53.8%57 pct33.0%13 pct
Chances for per 603.3687 pct1.6019 pct
Chances against per 602.8924 pct3.2417 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.3374 pct+0.3678 pct
Creates per 60+0.3686 pct+0.2775 pct
Prevents per 60−0.0335 pct+0.0965 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →