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Noah Hanifin vs Matthew Schaefer

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Matthew Schaefer is ahead on 7 of 13 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Noah Hanifin sits in the 84th percentile, Matthew Schaefer the 24th.

MeasureHanifinSchaefer
Scoring · NHL
Points12
Goals10
Assists02
Ice time per game19:4724:27
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.0838 pct0.1249 pct
Shot attempts per game2.048 pct4.392 pct
Goals above expected+0.784 pct−0.324 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share65.6%88 pct49.1%44 pct
Chances for per 602.8871 pct2.2948 pct
Chances against per 601.5186 pct2.3846 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.2364 pct+0.4080 pct
Creates per 60+0.0544 pct+0.3281 pct
Prevents per 60+0.1982 pct+0.0863 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 555 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →