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Jake Middleton vs Alexis Lafrenière

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Alexis Lafrenière is ahead on 12 of 13 measures. The widest gap is net impact per 60: Alexis Lafrenière sits in the 92nd percentile, Jake Middleton the 14th.

MeasureMiddletonLafrenière
Scoring · NHL
Points05
Goals03
Assists02
Ice time per game18:2719:08
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.0736 pct0.2375 pct
Shot attempts per game2.048 pct2.663 pct
Goals above expected−0.234 pct−0.145 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share49.1%44 pct53.0%55 pct
Chances for per 602.8268 pct2.6161 pct
Chances against per 602.9322 pct2.3149 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60−0.2314 pct+0.6092 pct
Creates per 60−0.2112 pct+0.4289 pct
Prevents per 60−0.0238 pct+0.1881 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 555 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →