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Danton Heinen vs Cale Makar

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Cale Makar is ahead on 9 of 12 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Cale Makar sits in the 78th percentile, Danton Heinen the 10th.

MeasureHeinenMakar
Scoring · NHL
Points03
Goals01
Assists02
Ice time per game11:4819:09
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.3084 pct0.2780 pct
Shot attempts per game2.560 pct2.560 pct
Goals above expected−0.610 pct+0.578 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share51.9%51 pct70.7%93 pct
Chances for per 602.3749 pct3.3085 pct
Chances against per 602.2053 pct1.3790 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.3171 pct+0.0645 pct
Creates per 60+0.1863 pct−0.0924 pct
Prevents per 60+0.1373 pct+0.1679 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →