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Christian Dvorak vs John Carlson

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

John Carlson is ahead on 10 of 12 measures. The widest gap is chances against per 60: John Carlson sits in the 80th percentile, Christian Dvorak the 7th.

MeasureDvorakCarlson
Scoring · NHL
Points12
Goals00
Assists12
Ice time per game16:0920:42
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.2069 pct0.0943 pct
Shot attempts per game2.351 pct3.072 pct
Goals above expected−0.86 pct−0.327 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share28.3%6 pct59.1%68 pct
Chances for per 601.5016 pct2.3850 pct
Chances against per 603.807 pct1.6580 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.1758 pct+0.3272 pct
Creates per 60+0.1661 pct+0.1560 pct
Prevents per 60+0.0145 pct+0.1681 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →