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Ivan Barbashev vs Mattias Samuelsson

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Mattias Samuelsson is ahead on 7 of 13 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Mattias Samuelsson sits in the 90th percentile, Ivan Barbashev the 22nd.

MeasureBarbashevSamuelsson
Scoring · NHL
Points32
Goals01
Assists31
Ice time per game14:3121:44
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.0942 pct0.0628 pct
Shot attempts per game1.840 pct2.357 pct
Goals above expected−0.422 pct+0.890 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share53.4%57 pct53.8%58 pct
Chances for per 602.0038 pct2.4454 pct
Chances against per 601.7576 pct2.0960 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60−0.0333 pct−0.2314 pct
Creates per 60+0.1255 pct−0.2112 pct
Prevents per 60−0.1518 pct−0.0237 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 550 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →