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Nick Schmaltz vs Connor McDavid

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Connor McDavid is ahead on 9 of 13 measures. The widest gap is chances against per 60: Connor McDavid sits in the 87th percentile, Nick Schmaltz the 55th.

MeasureSchmaltzMcDavid
Scoring · NHL
Points49
Goals42
Assists07
Ice time per game17:4323:44
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.5197 pct0.2274 pct
Shot attempts per game4.389 pct2.767 pct
Goals above expected+2.599 pct+0.375 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share60.9%75 pct70.6%93 pct
Chances for per 603.3387 pct3.4889 pct
Chances against per 602.1455 pct1.4587 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.2263 pct+0.7195 pct
Creates per 60+0.3179 pct+0.6697 pct
Prevents per 60−0.0926 pct+0.0555 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →