Dylan Larkin vs Tommy Novak
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Change first player
Red Wings skaters
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Viktor Arvidsson
- Emmitt Finnie
- Lucas Raymond
- Dylan Larkin
- Alex DeBrincat
- Moritz Seider
- Michael Rasmussen
- Andrew Copp
- Justin Faulk
- Carter Mazur
- Axel Sandin-Pellikka
- Nate Danielson
- Marco Kasper
- J.T. Compher
- Ben Chiarot
- Albert Johansson
- Keegan Kolesar
- Anton Johansson
- Mason Appleton
- Andreas Englund
- William Wallinder
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Clayton Keller
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
Another club (its chance leader)
Change second player
Penguins skaters
- Sidney Crosby
- Evgeni Malkin
- Filip Hallander
- Egor Chinakhov
- Rickard Rakell
- Samuel Girard
- Ben Kindel
- Tommy Novak
- Connor Dewar
- Nick Robertson
- Blake Lizotte
- Declan Carlile
- Kris Letang
- Ville Koivunen
- Erik Karlsson
- Hendrix Lapierre
- Kaedan Korczak
- Andrei Kuzmenko
- Elmer Soderblom
- Trevor van Riemsdyk
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Clayton Keller
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Tommy Novak is ahead on 7 of 10 measures. The widest gap is shot attempts per game: Dylan Larkin sits in the 99th percentile, Tommy Novak the 47th.
| Measure | Larkin | Novak |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 2 | 4 |
| Goals | 1 | 2 |
| Assists | 1 | 2 |
| Ice time per game | 20:41 | 15:19 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.7599 pct | 0.1967 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 7.099 pct | 2.047 pct |
| Goals above expected | +0.269 pct | +1.497 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | — | 45.9%35 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | — | 2.0240 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | — | 2.3845 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.0745 pct | +0.7094 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.1460 pct | +0.6597 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | −0.0828 pct | +0.0554 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →
