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Nikolaj Ehlers vs Warren Foegele

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Nikolaj Ehlers is ahead on 9 of 12 measures. The widest gap is shot attempts per game: Nikolaj Ehlers sits in the 67th percentile, Warren Foegele the 7th.

MeasureEhlersFoegele
Scoring · NHL
Points10
Goals00
Assists10
Ice time per game17:2112:37
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.3083 pct0.0527 pct
Shot attempts per game2.767 pct0.57 pct
Goals above expected−0.95 pct−0.147 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share52.6%53 pct45.4%35 pct
Chances for per 601.8731 pct2.6059 pct
Chances against per 601.6976 pct3.1219 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.5489 pct+0.3071 pct
Creates per 60+0.4992 pct+0.1459 pct
Prevents per 60+0.0656 pct+0.1680 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →