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Nikolaj Ehlers vs Christian Dvorak

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Nikolaj Ehlers is ahead on 11 of 12 measures. The widest gap is chances against per 60: Nikolaj Ehlers sits in the 84th percentile, Christian Dvorak the 5th.

MeasureEhlersDvorak
Scoring · NHL
Points21
Goals00
Assists21
Ice time per game16:5916:09
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.2578 pct0.2069 pct
Shot attempts per game2.869 pct2.353 pct
Goals above expected−1.05 pct−0.88 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share51.9%51 pct28.3%7 pct
Chances for per 601.7123 pct1.5015 pct
Chances against per 601.5884 pct3.805 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.5389 pct+0.1757 pct
Creates per 60+0.4691 pct+0.1661 pct
Prevents per 60+0.0657 pct+0.0145 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →