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Nikolaj Ehlers vs Mikael Backlund

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Nikolaj Ehlers is ahead on 8 of 12 measures. The widest gap is creates per 60: Nikolaj Ehlers sits in the 92nd percentile, Mikael Backlund the 24th.

MeasureEhlersBacklund
Scoring · NHL
Points10
Goals00
Assists10
Ice time per game17:2117:07
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.3083 pct0.3287 pct
Shot attempts per game2.767 pct5.395 pct
Goals above expected−0.95 pct−1.04 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share52.6%53 pct46.6%39 pct
Chances for per 601.8731 pct2.6561 pct
Chances against per 601.6976 pct3.0421 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.5489 pct−0.0333 pct
Creates per 60+0.4992 pct−0.0924 pct
Prevents per 60+0.0656 pct+0.0658 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →