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Bo Horvat vs Erik Cernak

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Bo Horvat is ahead on 9 of 13 measures. The widest gap is creates per 60: Bo Horvat sits in the 96th percentile, Erik Cernak the 2nd.

MeasureHorvatCernak
Scoring · NHL
Points20
Goals10
Assists10
Ice time per game20:3118:17
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.2883 pct0.1147 pct
Shot attempts per game5.093 pct3.072 pct
Goals above expected+0.478 pct−0.232 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share36.5%17 pct55.3%60 pct
Chances for per 602.6162 pct2.8669 pct
Chances against per 604.543 pct2.3148 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.5389 pct−0.396 pct
Creates per 60+0.6096 pct−0.482 pct
Prevents per 60−0.0631 pct+0.0964 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →