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Bo Horvat vs Brock Nelson

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Brock Nelson is ahead on 8 of 12 measures. The widest gap is shot attempts per game: Bo Horvat sits in the 93rd percentile, Brock Nelson the 18th.

MeasureHorvatNelson
Scoring · NHL
Points23
Goals11
Assists12
Ice time per game20:3117:43
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.2882 pct0.0941 pct
Shot attempts per game5.093 pct1.018 pct
Goals above expected+0.478 pct+0.890 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share36.5%17 pct59.7%71 pct
Chances for per 602.6161 pct3.1781 pct
Chances against per 604.543 pct2.1355 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.5389 pct+0.6493 pct
Creates per 60+0.6096 pct+0.4892 pct
Prevents per 60−0.0730 pct+0.1681 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 532 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →