Seth Jones vs Erik Cernak
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Panthers · DSeth JonesChange first player
Panthers skaters
- Sam Reinhart
- Carter Verhaeghe
- Brady Tkachuk
- Sandis Vilmanis
- Eetu Luostarinen
- Matthew Tkachuk
- Sam Bennett
- Seth Jones
- Anton Lundell
- Brad Marchand
- Lars Eller
- Niko Mikkola
- Aaron Ekblad
- Garnet Hathaway
- Aleksander Barkov
- Gustav Forsling
- Radko Gudas
- Uvis Balinskis
- Dmitry Kulikov
- Bokondji Imama
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- Kyle Connor
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Alex Tuch
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Cole Perfetti
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Beckett Sennecke
- Clayton Keller
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Cutter Gauthier
Another club (its chance leader)
Lightning · DErik CernakChange second player
Lightning skaters
- Brandon Hagel
- Brayden Point
- Jake Guentzel
- Nikita Kucherov
- Pontus Holmberg
- Gage Goncalves
- Ilya Mikheyev
- Conor Geekie
- J.J. Moser
- Anthony Cirelli
- Jeffrey Viel
- John Carlson
- Erik Cernak
- Victor Hedman
- Jansen Harkins
- Zemgus Girgensons
- Charle-Edouard D'Astous
- Max Crozier
- Emil Lilleberg
- Ryan McDonagh
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- Kyle Connor
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Alex Tuch
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Cole Perfetti
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Beckett Sennecke
- Clayton Keller
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Cutter Gauthier
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Seth Jones is ahead on 9 of 12 measures. The widest gap is chances for per 60: Erik Cernak sits in the 78th percentile, Seth Jones the 38th.
| Measure | Jones | Cernak |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 1 | 0 |
| Goals | 1 | 0 |
| Assists | 0 | 0 |
| Ice time per game | 27:43 | 19:36 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.1968 pct | 0.0736 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 3.888 pct | 2.358 pct |
| Goals above expected | +0.268 pct | −0.233 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 61.9%79 pct | 65.4%87 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 2.0038 pct | 3.0378 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 1.2393 pct | 1.6082 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | −0.1322 pct | −0.339 pct |
| Creates per 60 | −0.1518 pct | −0.452 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.0247 pct | +0.1269 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 555 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →