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Nathan MacKinnon vs Cutter Gauthier

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Nathan MacKinnon is ahead on 9 of 12 measures. The widest gap is chances against per 60: Nathan MacKinnon sits in the 62nd percentile, Cutter Gauthier the 13th.

MeasureMacKinnonGauthier
Scoring · NHL
Points54
Goals22
Assists32
Ice time per game18:0019:21
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.6498 pct0.5698 pct
Shot attempts per game7.599 pct8.099 pct
Goals above expected+0.785 pct+0.991 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share63.4%81 pct49.3%45 pct
Chances for per 603.4889 pct3.3085 pct
Chances against per 602.0162 pct3.3913 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+1.2199 pct+0.2667 pct
Creates per 60+1.2599 pct+0.4189 pct
Prevents per 60−0.0335 pct−0.1517 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →