Nathan MacKinnon vs Morgan Frost
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Avalanche · CNathan MacKinnonChange first player
Avalanche skaters
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Martin Necas
- Jaden Schwartz
- Nicolas Roy
- Artturi Lehkonen
- Cale Makar
- Fedor Svechkov
- Nazem Kadri
- T.J. Hughes
- Sam Malinski
- Gabriel Landeskog
- Brock Nelson
- Brent Burns
- Parker Kelly
- Devon Toews
- Zachary L'Heureux
- Brett Kulak
- Josh Manson
- Noah Juulsen
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- Kyle Connor
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Alex Tuch
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Cole Perfetti
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Beckett Sennecke
- Clayton Keller
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Cutter Gauthier
Another club (its chance leader)
Flames · CMorgan FrostChange second player
Flames skaters
- Mikael Backlund
- Morgan Frost
- Zayne Parekh
- Simon Nemec
- Joel Farabee
- Ryan Strome
- Matvei Gridin
- Matt Coronato
- Adam Klapka
- Connor Zary
- Jake Middleton
- Samuel Honzek
- Martin Pospisil
- Yegor Sharangovich
- Maxim Tsyplakov
- Zach Whitecloud
- Yan Kuznetsov
- Kevin Bahl
- Brennan Othmann
- Joel Hanley
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- Kyle Connor
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Alex Tuch
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Cole Perfetti
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Beckett Sennecke
- Clayton Keller
- Cutter Gauthier
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Nathan MacKinnon is ahead on 11 of 13 measures. The widest gap is chances against per 60: Nathan MacKinnon sits in the 78th percentile, Morgan Frost the 15th.
| Measure | MacKinnon | Frost |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 5 | 1 |
| Goals | 2 | 1 |
| Assists | 3 | 0 |
| Ice time per game | 18:44 | 15:29 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.5898 pct | 0.2170 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 7.099 pct | 3.380 pct |
| Goals above expected | +0.269 pct | +0.474 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 68.4%94 pct | 44.5%32 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 3.7095 pct | 2.6160 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 1.7178 pct | 3.2515 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +1.2599 pct | +0.1858 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +1.2899 pct | +0.1256 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | −0.0237 pct | +0.0655 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 555 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →