Nathan MacKinnon vs Trent Frederic
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Avalanche · CNathan MacKinnonChange first player
Avalanche skaters
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Martin Necas
- Artturi Lehkonen
- Nicolas Roy
- Jaden Schwartz
- Cale Makar
- Nazem Kadri
- T.J. Hughes
- Fedor Svechkov
- Sam Malinski
- Brock Nelson
- Parker Kelly
- Brent Burns
- Gabriel Landeskog
- Josh Manson
- Noah Juulsen
- Devon Toews
- Brett Kulak
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Kyle Connor
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Jordan Eberle
- William Eklund
- Nick Schmaltz
- Cole Perfetti
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Will Smith
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Sebastian Aho
- Marco Rossi
- Kirill Kaprizov
- JJ Peterka
- Artemi Panarin
- Sam Reinhart
Another club (its chance leader)
Oilers · CTrent FredericChange second player
Oilers skaters
- Leon Draisaitl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Evan Bouchard
- Connor McDavid
- Kasperi Kapanen
- Max Jones
- Trent Frederic
- Alex Formenton
- Isaac Howard
- Colton Dach
- Owen Michaels
- Mathieu Joseph
- Zach Hyman
- Ryan Shea
- Mattias Ekholm
- Josh Samanski
- Jake Walman
- Connor Murphy
- Shakir Mukhamadullin
- Ty Emberson
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Kyle Connor
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Jordan Eberle
- William Eklund
- Nick Schmaltz
- Cole Perfetti
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Will Smith
- Alex Tuch
- Sebastian Aho
- Marco Rossi
- Kirill Kaprizov
- JJ Peterka
- Artemi Panarin
- Sam Reinhart
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Nathan MacKinnon is ahead on 12 of 13 measures. The widest gap is shot attempts per game: Nathan MacKinnon sits in the 99th percentile, Trent Frederic the 18th.
| Measure | MacKinnon | Frederic |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 5 | 1 |
| Goals | 2 | 1 |
| Assists | 3 | 0 |
| Ice time per game | 18:00 | 9:30 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.6498 pct | 0.1763 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 7.599 pct | 1.018 pct |
| Goals above expected | +0.786 pct | +0.579 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 63.4%82 pct | 34.5%15 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 3.4889 pct | 1.7526 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 2.0161 pct | 3.3314 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +1.2199 pct | +0.2162 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +1.2599 pct | +0.1965 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | −0.0335 pct | +0.0248 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →