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Nathan MacKinnon vs Andrew Copp

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Nathan MacKinnon is ahead on 11 of 13 measures. The widest gap is creates per 60: Nathan MacKinnon sits in the 99th percentile, Andrew Copp the 27th.

MeasureMacKinnonCopp
Scoring · NHL
Points51
Goals20
Assists31
Ice time per game18:0023:01
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.6498 pct0.1045 pct
Shot attempts per game7.599 pct2.560 pct
Goals above expected+0.785 pct−0.235 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share63.4%81 pct50.6%47 pct
Chances for per 603.4889 pct2.6360 pct
Chances against per 602.0162 pct2.5637 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+1.2199 pct+0.0239 pct
Creates per 60+1.2599 pct−0.0627 pct
Prevents per 60−0.0335 pct+0.0863 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →