William Carrier vs Nathan MacKinnon
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Hurricanes · LWilliam CarrierChange first player
Hurricanes skaters
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Sebastian Aho
- Logan Stankoven
- Jackson Blake
- Taylor Hall
- William Carrier
- Nikolaj Ehlers
- Shayne Gostisbehere
- Jordan Staal
- Jordan Martinook
- Jalen Chatfield
- Jaccob Slavin
- K'Andre Miller
- Eric Robinson
- Mark Jankowski
- Sean Walker
- Charles Alexis Legault
- Mike Reilly
- Jesperi Kotkaniemi
- Nicolas Deslauriers
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- Tomas Hertl
- William Nylander
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Kirill Marchenko
- John Tavares
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Clayton Keller
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
- Jack Hughes
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
Another club (its chance leader)
Avalanche · CNathan MacKinnonChange second player
Avalanche skaters
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Martin Necas
- Artturi Lehkonen
- Nicolas Roy
- Jaden Schwartz
- Cale Makar
- Nazem Kadri
- T.J. Hughes
- Fedor Svechkov
- Sam Malinski
- Brock Nelson
- Parker Kelly
- Brent Burns
- Gabriel Landeskog
- Josh Manson
- Noah Juulsen
- Devon Toews
- Brett Kulak
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- Tomas Hertl
- William Nylander
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Kirill Marchenko
- John Tavares
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Clayton Keller
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
- Jack Hughes
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Nathan MacKinnon is ahead on 11 of 13 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Nathan MacKinnon sits in the 85th percentile, William Carrier the 4th.
| Measure | Carrier | MacKinnon |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 2 | 5 |
| Goals | 0 | 2 |
| Assists | 2 | 3 |
| Ice time per game | 10:49 | 18:00 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.2578 pct | 0.6498 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 2.047 pct | 7.599 pct |
| Goals above expected | −1.04 pct | +0.785 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 63.1%82 pct | 63.4%83 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 3.7994 pct | 3.4889 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 2.2155 pct | 2.0163 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.5187 pct | +1.2199 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.2270 pct | +1.2499 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.2993 pct | −0.0335 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 555 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →