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Shea Theodore vs Tommy Novak

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Tommy Novak is ahead on 7 of 12 measures. The widest gap is expected goals per game: Tommy Novak sits in the 94th percentile, Shea Theodore the 52nd.

MeasureTheodoreNovak
Scoring · NHL
Points35
Goals13
Assists22
Ice time per game21:5015:19
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.1352 pct0.4294 pct
Shot attempts per game3.073 pct2.562 pct
Goals above expected+0.577 pct+1.396 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share55.4%63 pct55.3%62 pct
Chances for per 602.2646 pct2.6863 pct
Chances against per 601.8373 pct2.1656 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.3677 pct+0.7597 pct
Creates per 60+0.2372 pct+0.6898 pct
Prevents per 60+0.1373 pct+0.0861 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 555 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →