Skip to content

Michael McCarron vs Tomas Hertl

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Tomas Hertl is ahead on 12 of 13 measures. The widest gap is chances for per 60: Tomas Hertl sits in the 95th percentile, Michael McCarron the 14th.

MeasureMcCarronHertl
Scoring · NHL
Points35
Goals03
Assists32
Ice time per game15:1316:25
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.0837 pct0.6899 pct
Shot attempts per game3.073 pct5.395 pct
Goals above expected−0.233 pct+0.370 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share43.2%30 pct72.5%97 pct
Chances for per 601.4614 pct3.8895 pct
Chances against per 601.9166 pct1.4788 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.1050 pct+0.6092 pct
Creates per 600.0038 pct+0.4490 pct
Prevents per 60+0.1066 pct+0.1679 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →