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Nick Paul vs Will Smith

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Will Smith is ahead on 7 of 12 measures. The widest gap is chance share: Nick Paul sits in the 92nd percentile, Will Smith the 7th.

MeasurePaulSmith
Scoring · NHL
Points13
Goals02
Assists11
Ice time per game16:0619:06
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.1455 pct0.4796 pct
Shot attempts per game2.047 pct2.767 pct
Goals above expected−0.418 pct+0.681 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share70.2%92 pct28.4%7 pct
Chances for per 603.0477 pct1.3813 pct
Chances against per 601.2992 pct3.4911 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60−0.1123 pct−0.1420 pct
Creates per 60−0.2112 pct+0.2269 pct
Prevents per 60+0.1067 pct−0.363 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →