Nick Paul vs Mark Kastelic
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Maple Leafs · LNick PaulChange first player
Maple Leafs skaters
- William Nylander
- Kirill Marchenko
- John Tavares
- Auston Matthews
- Jack Roslovic
- Colton Sissons
- Easton Cowan
- Nick Paul
- Gavin McKenna
- Darren Raddysh
- Morgan Rielly
- Oliver Ekman-Larsson
- Brandon Duhaime
- Teddy Blueger
- Jake McCabe
- Troy Stecher
- Bo Groulx
- Chris Tanev
- Zack MacEwen
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Clayton Keller
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
- Jack Hughes
Another club (its chance leader)
Bruins · CMark KastelicChange second player
Bruins skaters
- Morgan Geekie
- David Pastrnak
- JJ Peterka
- Pavel Zacha
- James Hagens
- Elias Lindholm
- Casey Mittelstadt
- Fraser Minten
- Tanner Jeannot
- Mason Lohrei
- Nikita Zadorov
- Sean Kuraly
- Marat Khusnutdinov
- Jonathan Aspirot
- Hampus Lindholm
- Connor Clifton
- Matthew Poitras
- Mark Kastelic
- Will Borgen
- Frederic Brunet
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Clayton Keller
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
- Jack Hughes
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Mark Kastelic is ahead on 9 of 13 measures. The widest gap is chances against per 60: Mark Kastelic sits in the 93rd percentile, Nick Paul the 17th.
| Measure | Paul | Kastelic |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 1 | 3 |
| Goals | 0 | 1 |
| Assists | 1 | 2 |
| Ice time per game | 15:26 | 10:56 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.1662 pct | 0.028 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 2.047 pct | 1.015 pct |
| Goals above expected | −0.710 pct | −0.154 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 48.1%42 pct | 60.1%74 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 2.8972 pct | 1.9234 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 3.1217 pct | 1.2893 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | −0.2216 pct | −0.0235 pct |
| Creates per 60 | −0.1914 pct | −0.0825 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | −0.0336 pct | +0.0655 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 538 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →