Jake Guentzel vs Matthew Schaefer
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Lightning · CJake GuentzelChange first player
Lightning skaters
- Brandon Hagel
- Brayden Point
- Jake Guentzel
- Nikita Kucherov
- Pontus Holmberg
- Gage Goncalves
- Ilya Mikheyev
- Conor Geekie
- J.J. Moser
- Anthony Cirelli
- Jeffrey Viel
- John Carlson
- Erik Cernak
- Victor Hedman
- Jansen Harkins
- Zemgus Girgensons
- Charle-Edouard D'Astous
- Max Crozier
- Emil Lilleberg
- Ryan McDonagh
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Clayton Keller
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
Another club (its chance leader)
Islanders · DMatthew SchaeferChange second player
Islanders skaters
- Bo Horvat
- Brayden Schenn
- Casey Cizikas
- Ondrej Palat
- Victor Eklund
- Kyle Palmieri
- Emil Heineman
- Calum Ritchie
- Anthony Duclair
- Simon Holmstrom
- Matthew Schaefer
- Matias Maccelli
- Tony DeAngelo
- Jean-Gabriel Pageau
- Ryan Pulock
- Alexander Romanov
- Adam Pelech
- Logan Stanley
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Clayton Keller
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Jake Guentzel is ahead on 8 of 12 measures. The widest gap is expected goals per game: Jake Guentzel sits in the 90th percentile, Matthew Schaefer the 49th.
| Measure | Guentzel | Schaefer |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 3 | 2 |
| Goals | 1 | 0 |
| Assists | 2 | 2 |
| Ice time per game | 21:13 | 24:27 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.3690 pct | 0.1249 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 3.379 pct | 4.392 pct |
| Goals above expected | −1.14 pct | −0.323 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 59.2%72 pct | 49.1%44 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 3.3989 pct | 2.2948 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 2.3347 pct | 2.3845 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.5690 pct | +0.4080 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.5394 pct | +0.3281 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.0451 pct | +0.0863 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →