Skip to content

Jake Guentzel vs Tom Willander

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Jake Guentzel is ahead on 10 of 12 measures. The widest gap is net impact per 60: Jake Guentzel sits in the 90th percentile, Tom Willander the 1st.

MeasureGuentzelWillander
Scoring · NHL
Points33
Goals10
Assists23
Ice time per game21:1320:47
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.3690 pct0.0210 pct
Shot attempts per game3.379 pct1.015 pct
Goals above expected−1.14 pct−0.151 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share59.2%72 pct35.6%15 pct
Chances for per 603.3989 pct1.5015 pct
Chances against per 602.3347 pct2.7132 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.5690 pct−0.691 pct
Creates per 60+0.5394 pct−0.296 pct
Prevents per 60+0.0451 pct−0.402 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →