Jake Guentzel vs Nils Hoglander
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Lightning · CJake GuentzelChange first player
Lightning skaters
- Brandon Hagel
- Nikita Kucherov
- Brayden Point
- Pontus Holmberg
- Ilya Mikheyev
- Conor Geekie
- Jake Guentzel
- J.J. Moser
- John Carlson
- Anthony Cirelli
- Erik Cernak
- Jansen Harkins
- Jeffrey Viel
- Zemgus Girgensons
- Victor Hedman
- Charle-Edouard D'Astous
- Emil Lilleberg
- Gage Goncalves
- Ryan McDonagh
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Kyle Connor
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Jordan Eberle
- William Eklund
- Nick Schmaltz
- Cole Perfetti
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Will Smith
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Sebastian Aho
- Marco Rossi
- Kirill Kaprizov
- JJ Peterka
- Artemi Panarin
- Sam Reinhart
Another club (its chance leader)
Predators · LNils HoglanderChange second player
Predators skaters
- Steven Stamkos
- Adam Edstrom
- Matthew Wood
- Mavrik Bourque
- Ryan O'Reilly
- Filip Forsberg
- Roman Josi
- Nick Perbix
- Nils Hoglander
- Jonathan Marchessault
- Ross Colton
- Reid Schaefer
- Brady Skjei
- William Trudeau
- Ryan Ufko
- Alexander Kerfoot
- Jack Ahcan
- Nicolas Hague
- Adam Wilsby
- Jack Drury
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Kyle Connor
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Jordan Eberle
- William Eklund
- Nick Schmaltz
- Cole Perfetti
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Will Smith
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Sebastian Aho
- Marco Rossi
- Kirill Kaprizov
- JJ Peterka
- Artemi Panarin
- Sam Reinhart
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Nils Hoglander is ahead on 6 of 11 measures. The widest gap is goals above expected: Nils Hoglander sits in the 91st percentile, Jake Guentzel the 28th.
| Measure | Guentzel | Hoglander |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 3 | 1 |
| Goals | 1 | 1 |
| Assists | 2 | 0 |
| Ice time per game | 21:10 | 11:05 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.1353 pct | 0.0737 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 2.046 pct | 2.046 pct |
| Goals above expected | −0.328 pct | +0.891 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 47.4%43 pct | 61.8%78 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 2.2447 pct | 2.8870 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 2.4941 pct | 1.7871 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.5489 pct | +0.6292 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.4992 pct | +0.3887 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.0554 pct | +0.2490 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →