Jake Guentzel vs Mitch Marner
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Lightning · CJake GuentzelChange first player
Lightning skaters
- Brandon Hagel
- Brayden Point
- Jake Guentzel
- Nikita Kucherov
- Pontus Holmberg
- Gage Goncalves
- Ilya Mikheyev
- Conor Geekie
- J.J. Moser
- Anthony Cirelli
- Jeffrey Viel
- John Carlson
- Erik Cernak
- Victor Hedman
- Jansen Harkins
- Zemgus Girgensons
- Charle-Edouard D'Astous
- Max Crozier
- Emil Lilleberg
- Ryan McDonagh
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Kyle Connor
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Nick Schmaltz
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
- Will Smith
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Tyson Foerster
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Gabriel Vilardi
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- David Pastrnak
Another club (its chance leader)
Golden Knights · RMitch MarnerChange second player
Golden Knights skaters
- Tomas Hertl
- Brett Howden
- Mitch Marner
- William Karlsson
- Trevor Connelly
- Victor Olofsson
- Jack Eichel
- Braeden Bowman
- Mark Stone
- Marc Gatcomb
- Noah Hanifin
- Shea Theodore
- Rasmus Andersson
- Ivan Barbashev
- Nic Dowd
- Jeremy Lauzon
- Brayden McNabb
- Parker Wotherspoon
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Kyle Connor
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Nick Schmaltz
- Brandon Hagel
- Morgan Geekie
- Will Smith
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Tyson Foerster
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Gabriel Vilardi
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- David Pastrnak
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Jake Guentzel and Mitch Marner split the measures 6 each. The widest gap is goals above expected: Mitch Marner sits in the 68th percentile, Jake Guentzel the 3rd.
| Measure | Guentzel | Marner |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 3 | 2 |
| Goals | 1 | 1 |
| Assists | 2 | 1 |
| Ice time per game | 21:13 | 21:53 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.3689 pct | 0.3387 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 3.377 pct | 3.784 pct |
| Goals above expected | −1.13 pct | 0.068 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 59.2%69 pct | 67.7%88 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 3.3988 pct | 2.0137 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 2.3347 pct | 0.9696 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.5690 pct | +0.5489 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.5393 pct | +0.3281 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.0451 pct | +0.2287 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →