Jake Guentzel vs Pavel Buchnevich
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Lightning · CJake GuentzelChange first player
Lightning skaters
- Brandon Hagel
- Brayden Point
- Jake Guentzel
- Nikita Kucherov
- Pontus Holmberg
- Gage Goncalves
- Ilya Mikheyev
- Conor Geekie
- J.J. Moser
- Anthony Cirelli
- Jeffrey Viel
- John Carlson
- Erik Cernak
- Victor Hedman
- Jansen Harkins
- Zemgus Girgensons
- Charle-Edouard D'Astous
- Max Crozier
- Emil Lilleberg
- Ryan McDonagh
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- Kyle Connor
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Alex Tuch
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Cole Perfetti
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Beckett Sennecke
- Clayton Keller
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Cutter Gauthier
Another club (its chance leader)
Blues · LPavel BuchnevichChange second player
Blues skaters
- Mason McTavish
- Connor McMichael
- Dalibor Dvorsky
- Dylan Holloway
- Pavel Buchnevich
- Adam Jiricek
- Jimmy Snuggerud
- Robert Thomas
- Jonatan Berggren
- Philip Broberg
- Colton Parayko
- Jake Neighbours
- Pius Suter
- Ross Johnston
- Cam Fowler
- Brandon Carlo
- Theo Lindstein
- Dillon Dube
- Alexey Toropchenko
- Zach Dean
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- Kyle Connor
- Vasily Podkolzin
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Alex Tuch
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Cole Perfetti
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Beckett Sennecke
- Clayton Keller
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Cutter Gauthier
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Jake Guentzel is ahead on 10 of 13 measures. The widest gap is chances against per 60: Pavel Buchnevich sits in the 79th percentile, Jake Guentzel the 48th.
| Measure | Guentzel | Buchnevich |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 3 | 1 |
| Goals | 1 | 0 |
| Assists | 2 | 1 |
| Ice time per game | 21:13 | 16:52 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.3690 pct | 0.1967 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 3.380 pct | 2.358 pct |
| Goals above expected | −1.14 pct | −0.613 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 59.2%72 pct | 64.6%85 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 3.3990 pct | 3.0880 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 2.3348 pct | 1.6979 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.5691 pct | +0.4584 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.5294 pct | +0.4691 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.0451 pct | −0.0139 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 555 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →