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Jake Guentzel vs Cam Fowler

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Jake Guentzel is ahead on 8 of 13 measures. The widest gap is expected goals per game: Jake Guentzel sits in the 89th percentile, Cam Fowler the 11th.

MeasureGuentzelFowler
Scoring · NHL
Points30
Goals10
Assists20
Ice time per game21:1323:01
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.3689 pct0.0211 pct
Shot attempts per game3.377 pct1.532 pct
Goals above expected−1.13 pct0.059 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share59.2%69 pct61.1%74 pct
Chances for per 603.3988 pct3.1881 pct
Chances against per 602.3347 pct2.0360 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.5690 pct+0.1150 pct
Creates per 60+0.5393 pct+0.0240 pct
Prevents per 60+0.0451 pct+0.0863 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →