Jake Guentzel vs Brock Nelson
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Lightning · CJake GuentzelChange first player
Lightning skaters
- Brandon Hagel
- Brayden Point
- Jake Guentzel
- Nikita Kucherov
- Pontus Holmberg
- Gage Goncalves
- Ilya Mikheyev
- Conor Geekie
- J.J. Moser
- Anthony Cirelli
- Jeffrey Viel
- John Carlson
- Erik Cernak
- Victor Hedman
- Jansen Harkins
- Zemgus Girgensons
- Charle-Edouard D'Astous
- Max Crozier
- Emil Lilleberg
- Ryan McDonagh
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Clayton Keller
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
Another club (its chance leader)
Avalanche · CBrock NelsonChange second player
Avalanche skaters
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Martin Necas
- Artturi Lehkonen
- Nicolas Roy
- Jaden Schwartz
- Cale Makar
- Nazem Kadri
- T.J. Hughes
- Fedor Svechkov
- Sam Malinski
- Brock Nelson
- Parker Kelly
- Brent Burns
- Gabriel Landeskog
- Josh Manson
- Noah Juulsen
- Devon Toews
- Brett Kulak
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Clayton Keller
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Jake Guentzel and Brock Nelson split the measures 5 each. The widest gap is goals above expected: Brock Nelson sits in the 89th percentile, Jake Guentzel the 4th.
| Measure | Guentzel | Nelson |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 3 | 3 |
| Goals | 1 | 1 |
| Assists | 2 | 2 |
| Ice time per game | 21:13 | 17:43 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.3690 pct | 0.0941 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 3.379 pct | 1.015 pct |
| Goals above expected | −1.14 pct | +0.889 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 59.2%72 pct | 59.7%73 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 3.3989 pct | 3.1782 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 2.3347 pct | 2.1357 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | +0.5690 pct | +0.6493 pct |
| Creates per 60 | +0.5394 pct | +0.4892 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.0451 pct | +0.1680 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →