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Jake Guentzel vs Ryan McDonagh

NHL

Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.

2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far

Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better

Jake Guentzel is ahead on 9 of 13 measures. The widest gap is expected goals per game: Jake Guentzel sits in the 89th percentile, Ryan McDonagh the 3rd.

MeasureGuentzelMcDonagh
Scoring · NHL
Points30
Goals10
Assists20
Ice time per game21:1315:40
His chances · ours
Expected goals per game0.3689 pct0.003 pct
Shot attempts per game3.377 pct0.34 pct
Goals above expected−1.13 pct0.064 pct
With him on the ice · ours
Chance share59.2%69 pct65.6%85 pct
Chances for per 603.3988 pct2.5456 pct
Chances against per 602.3347 pct1.3390 pct
5-on-5 impact · ours
Net impact per 60+0.5690 pct+0.2869 pct
Creates per 60+0.5393 pct−0.0136 pct
Prevents per 60+0.0451 pct+0.2993 pct
How this is measured

Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.

Percentiles compare each skater with the 540 skaters who have at least 19 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →