Colton Parayko vs John Carlson
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Change first player
Blues skaters
- Mason McTavish
- Connor McMichael
- Dalibor Dvorsky
- Dylan Holloway
- Pavel Buchnevich
- Adam Jiricek
- Jimmy Snuggerud
- Robert Thomas
- Jonatan Berggren
- Philip Broberg
- Colton Parayko
- Jake Neighbours
- Pius Suter
- Ross Johnston
- Cam Fowler
- Brandon Carlo
- Theo Lindstein
- Dillon Dube
- Alexey Toropchenko
- Zach Dean
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Clayton Keller
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
Another club (its chance leader)
Change second player
Lightning skaters
- Brandon Hagel
- Brayden Point
- Jake Guentzel
- Nikita Kucherov
- Pontus Holmberg
- Gage Goncalves
- Ilya Mikheyev
- Conor Geekie
- J.J. Moser
- Anthony Cirelli
- Jeffrey Viel
- John Carlson
- Erik Cernak
- Victor Hedman
- Jansen Harkins
- Zemgus Girgensons
- Charle-Edouard D'Astous
- Max Crozier
- Emil Lilleberg
- Ryan McDonagh
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Tomas Hertl
- Tage Thompson
- William Eklund
- Dylan Guenther
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Nick Schmaltz
- Kyle Connor
- William Nylander
- Will Cuylle
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Steven Stamkos
- Adrian Kempe
- Kirill Marchenko
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- John Tavares
- J.T. Miller
- Sam Reinhart
- Clayton Keller
- Wyatt Johnston
- Jordan Eberle
- Cole Perfetti
- Auston Matthews
- Sebastian Aho
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
John Carlson is ahead on 10 of 12 measures. The widest gap is creates per 60: John Carlson sits in the 62nd percentile, Colton Parayko the 4th.
| Measure | Parayko | Carlson |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 1 | 2 |
| Goals | 0 | 0 |
| Assists | 1 | 2 |
| Ice time per game | 20:28 | 20:42 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.1147 pct | 0.0942 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 3.379 pct | 3.073 pct |
| Goals above expected | −0.325 pct | −0.329 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | 44.3%31 pct | 59.1%71 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | 1.8128 pct | 2.3852 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | 2.2850 pct | 1.6580 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | −0.2117 pct | +0.3273 pct |
| Creates per 60 | −0.344 pct | +0.1662 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | +0.1474 pct | +0.1680 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 543 skaters who have at least 22 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →
