Matt Grzelcyk vs Alex Ovechkin
Who gets more chances, who finishes them, and whose team owns the ice when he is on it? The league's scoring numbers and ours, side by side.
2026-27 seasonregular season and playoffs so far
Change first player
Sabres skaters
- Tage Thompson
- Jack Quinn
- Noah Ostlund
- Konsta Helenius
- Rasmus Dahlin
- Zach Benson
- Jiri Kulich
- Ryan McLeod
- Josh Norris
- Josh Doan
- Peyton Krebs
- Mattias Samuelsson
- Olen Zellweger
- Sam Carrick
- Louis Crevier
- Owen Power
- Beck Malenstyn
- Matt Grzelcyk
- Zach Metsa
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Kyle Connor
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Jordan Eberle
- William Eklund
- Nick Schmaltz
- Cole Perfetti
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Will Smith
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Sebastian Aho
- Marco Rossi
- Kirill Kaprizov
- JJ Peterka
- Artemi Panarin
- Sam Reinhart
Another club (its chance leader)
Change second player
Capitals skaters
- Alex Tuch
- Dylan Strome
- Ryan Leonard
- Jakob Chychrun
- Anthony Beauvillier
- Cole Hutson
- Tom Wilson
- Aliaksei Protas
- Boone Jenner
- Martin Fehérváry
- Matt Roy
- Jordan Kyrou
- Justin Sourdif
- Pierre-Luc Dubois
- Alex Ovechkin
- Timothy Liljegren
- Vincent Desharnais
- Ilya Protas
League chance leaders
- Leon Draisaitl
- Andrei Svechnikov
- Tomas Hertl
- Vasily Podkolzin
- Kyle Connor
- Pavel Dorofeyev
- Adrian Kempe
- Jordan Eberle
- William Eklund
- Nick Schmaltz
- Cole Perfetti
- Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
- Dylan Guenther
- Clayton Keller
- William Nylander
- Will Smith
- Alex Tuch
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Sebastian Aho
- Marco Rossi
- Kirill Kaprizov
- JJ Peterka
- Artemi Panarin
- Sam Reinhart
Another club (its chance leader)
Every measurepct = league percentile, higher is better
Alex Ovechkin is ahead on 6 of 9 measures. The widest gap is creates per 60: Alex Ovechkin sits in the 74th percentile, Matt Grzelcyk the 5th.
| Measure | Grzelcyk | Ovechkin |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring · NHL | ||
| Points | 0 | 1 |
| Goals | 0 | 0 |
| Assists | 0 | 1 |
| Ice time per game | 14:27 | 13:10 |
| His chances · ours | ||
| Expected goals per game | 0.001 pct | 0.0425 pct |
| Shot attempts per game | 0.01 pct | 1.018 pct |
| Goals above expected | 0.068 pct | −0.149 pct |
| With him on the ice · ours | ||
| Chance share | — | 17.4%2 pct |
| Chances for per 60 | — | 1.015 pct |
| Chances against per 60 | — | 4.792 pct |
| 5-on-5 impact · ours | ||
| Net impact per 60 | −0.338 pct | −0.1421 pct |
| Creates per 60 | −0.325 pct | +0.2774 pct |
| Prevents per 60 | −0.0142 pct | −0.401 pct |
How this is measured
Points, goals, assists and ice time are the NHL's own numbers for the season. Everything else is ours, from the shot model: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, added up for the shooter (his chances) or for everyone on the ice with him at five-on-five (with him on the ice). The impact rating also accounts for his linemates, opponents, home ice and the score. The bold number is the better of the two.
Percentiles compare each skater with the 519 skaters who have at least 18 five-on-five minutes this season; a skater under that minimum has no on-ice numbers here yet. For chances against, a higher percentile means fewer allowed. Goalies are not compared on this page. More →
